Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.448099 0.491289 0.537531 0.590846 0.650766 0.716198 0.793280
2026-01-25 0.380107 0.440656 0.510083 0.596097 0.700513 0.824069 0.982689
2026-02-01 0.331736 0.398812 0.479270 0.583896 0.717827 0.885541 1.114678
2026-02-08 0.303300 0.375455 0.465233 0.586735 0.749347 0.963071 1.271362
2026-02-15 0.278159 0.352718 0.448340 0.582159 0.768165 1.023066 1.408748
2026-02-22 0.260157 0.337029 0.438329 0.584458 0.794744 1.094332 1.568558
2026-03-01 0.241705 0.318895 0.423005 0.577184 0.805898 1.143153 1.699148
2026-03-08 0.225195 0.301969 0.407688 0.567993 0.812452 1.184515 1.821572
2026-03-15 0.208095 0.282918 0.387792 0.550086 0.803589 1.200286 1.902783
2026-03-22 0.201323 0.278012 0.387683 0.561395 0.840343 1.291210 2.121990
2026-03-29 0.194517 0.272506 0.386131 0.570059 0.873212 1.378537 2.346070
2026-04-05 0.187104 0.265564 0.381830 0.573822 0.897990 1.454129 2.558338
2026-04-12 0.179559 0.258099 0.376417 0.575648 0.920143 1.528364 2.781076
2026-04-19 0.173330 0.252277 0.373167 0.580736 0.948347 1.616587 3.045849
2026-04-26 0.163934 0.240976 0.360490 0.568917 0.945240 1.645724 3.191178
2026-05-03 0.158356 0.235359 0.356561 0.571668 0.968632 1.727813 3.463935
2026-05-10 0.151766 0.227753 0.348890 0.567235 0.978076 1.783099 3.684946
2026-05-17 0.146947 0.222739 0.345176 0.569461 1.000195 1.866211 3.984881
2026-05-24 0.140753 0.215154 0.336696 0.562414 1.003528 1.910280 4.197061
2026-05-31 0.134649 0.207430 0.327557 0.553509 1.002331 1.944357 4.389718
2026-06-07 0.127488 0.197622 0.314345 0.536157 0.982599 1.935669 4.469118
2026-06-14 0.125495 0.196442 0.316068 0.547116 1.022007 2.063767 4.941545
2026-06-21 0.123178 0.194584 0.316470 0.555511 1.056722 2.185261 5.421369